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Ako sa chrániť pred padajúcim dolárom - investujte s Indexfunds.sk

Ako sa chrániť pred padajúcim dolárom

Dan SolinMnohí si myslia, že Spojené štáty a dolár sú odsúdené k úpadku a s tým aj investície do US spoločností. Dan Solin z poradenskej spoločnosti Index Funds Advisors to nevidí tak dramaticky. Uvádza, že tento názor nie je nič nové pod Slnkom, a tak sú tieto obavy už zarátané do ceny US akcií. V dlhodobom horizonte je očakávaný výnos rizikových investícií vyšší ako menej rizikových. Napríklad akcie v rozvíjajúcich sa krajinách, merané indexom MSCI Emerging Markets, vyniesli v rokoch 1989 až 2008 9,98% p.a. Výnos indexu S&P 500, ktorý odzrkadluje výnos veľkých US spoločností bol za to isté obdobie 8,42%.

Samozrejme to neznamená, že treba všetky svoje úspory vložiť do US akcií, alebo do trhov rozvíjajúcich sa krajín. Solin odporúča širokodiverzifikované portfólio z pasívnych indexových fondov investujúcich do akcií a dlhopisov. Je treba pokryť, čo najviac akcií na svete a čo najviac krajín. Nik totiž dopredu nemôže vedieť, ako sa vyvinie situácia v USA, či iných krajinách do budúcnosti. V roku 1990 sa nedalo čakať, že japonský akciový trh sa ani po 20ich rokoch nedostane z krízy a nedosiahne svoje historické maximum. Bolo by ale nerozumné vynechať Japonsko pri investovaní. Čo sa s ním stane o 20 rokov nemôže dnes nik vedieť, tak ako sme to nevedeli v roku 1990.


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